The National Directorate for Water Resources Management (DNGRH) reports elevated hydrological pressure in key river basins. Water levels in the Buzi and Pungue basins remain above alert thresholds, while the Licungo basin shows oscillating levels with an upward trend [Sofala COE, 26 December 2025]. Authorities warn of moderate flooding of agricultural land, riverine settlements and transport infrastructure. Local media report that more than 10,000 hectares of agricultural land have already been affected in parts of Buzi district, Sofala province, riverine settlements and transport infrastructure. (OCHA, 29 Dec 2025)
Between 24 December and 7 January, heavy rains and floods affected 75,325 people (14,310 families) across Nampula, Niassa, Manica, Sofala, Tete and Zambézia, with 21 deaths reported. Currently, 5,727 people are sheltered in temporary accommodation centres, mainly in Zambézia, with smaller numbers in Niassa and Manica. From 8 January 2025, heavy to very heavy rainfall forecast in southern Mozambique is expected to significantly raise river basin levels and increase surface runoff over the next 72 hours. Hydrological authorities warn of a heightened risk of flooding affecting agricultural land, riverside communities, and road infrastructure, particularly in several river basins across Inhambane Province, with possible impacts also extending to Gaza Province. (OCHA, 9 Jan 2026)
According to the National Emergency Operations Centre (CENOE), these conditions are expected to further aggravate the flood situation in several river basins, including the Licungo River Basin, increasing the risk of inundation, damage to housing and critical infrastructure, disruption of basic services, and loss of livelihoods. People living in flood-prone zones remain especially vulnerable, notably children, women, the elderly, and persons
with disabilities. (IFRC, 9 Jan 2026)
